Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Frost 48.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 64.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Eller
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eller
Frost
Last 8: Eller 6-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
2
Eller
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
47.4% (426)
+3.7%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
63.9% (36)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
20.0% (5)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Eller
Frost
Home
51.2% (510)
51.1% (221)
Away
47.8% (521)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Eller
Frost
P1
50.7%
47.5%
P2
49.0%
52.3%
P3
48.3%
44.7%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |