Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Eller
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eller
MacKinnon
Last 10: Eller 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Eller
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
45.5% (1,190)
+7.3%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
56.4% (94)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
40.0% (30)
+6.2%
On power play, Eller has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Eller
MacKinnon
Home
54.5% (448)
47.8% (670)
Away
50.2% (484)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Eller
MacKinnon
P1
52.8%
45.3%
P2
50.9%
48.5%
P3
53.4%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |