Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Sturm 52.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 65.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 50.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Eller
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Eller
Sturm
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Eller
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
5
Eller
Sturm
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
54.0% (480)
-2.9%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
28.6% (7)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
50.0% (102)
-6.4%
On power play, Eller has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Eller
Sturm
Home
51.2% (510)
54.0% (287)
Away
47.8% (521)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Eller
Sturm
P1
50.7%
53.5%
P2
49.0%
51.0%
P3
48.3%
55.1%
OT
56.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |