Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Sturm 53.6% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 60.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Eller
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
54.6% (271)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
54.4% (90)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Eller
Sturm
Home
53.1% (211)
53.0% (168)
Away
59.7% (278)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Eller
Sturm
P1
55.4%
58.2%
P2
58.1%
53.2%
P3
57.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%