Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Zacha 46.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 88.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 71.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 88.4%
11.6%
88.4%
Eller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Eller
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
45.3% (247)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
58.1% (31)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
22.2% (18)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Eller
Zacha
Home
56.4% (486)
39.7% (131)
Away
51.2% (537)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Eller
Zacha
P1
55.1%
42.9%
P2
55.3%
46.4%
P3
51.7%
42.3%
OT
27.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |