Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Eller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
54.1% (534)
-1.3%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
56.0% (109)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
44.8% (96)
+0.7%
On power play, Eller has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Eller
Zacha
Home
52.6% (340)
53.4% (406)
Away
51.8% (411)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Eller
Zacha
P1
52.4%
56.8%
P2
54.1%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.2%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |