Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Zacha 51.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Eller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Eller
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
53.3% (646)
+3.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
53.0% (100)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
38.9% (72)
+17.6%
On power play, Eller has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Eller
Zacha
Home
53.1% (211)
51.7% (410)
Away
59.7% (278)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Eller
Zacha
P1
55.4%
57.7%
P2
58.1%
48.9%
P3
57.1%
50.2%
Final 5 min
60.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |