Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 35-28 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Eller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
28
(63 meetings)
35
28
Eller
Zacha
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Eller
Zacha
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
15
12
Eller
Zacha
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
10
6
Eller
Zacha
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
48.9% (5,102)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
55.6% (804)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
42.2% (555)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Eller
Zacha
Home
51.4% (6,118)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Eller
Zacha
P1
51.2%
49.9%
P2
50.1%
49.2%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
56.7%
53.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |