Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 84.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 83.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Eller
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Eller
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eller 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Eller
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Eller
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Eller
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
57.9% (1,179)
-9.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
63.0% (292)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
53.8% (320)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Eller
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (421)
61.3% (884)
Away
46.8% (462)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Eller
O'Reilly
P1
47.8%
55.5%
P2
47.3%
61.0%
P3
46.1%
56.8%
OT
66.7%
67.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |