Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Eller
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
O'Reilly
Last 5: Eller 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Eller
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Eller
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
56.1% (690)
-2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
64.6% (96)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
45.9% (109)
+6.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Eller
O'Reilly
Home
56.4% (486)
58.3% (408)
Away
51.2% (537)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Eller
O'Reilly
P1
55.1%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
54.8%
P3
51.7%
55.2%
OT
27.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |