Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 67.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Eller
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Eller
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eller 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Eller
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Eller
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.5%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
60.4% (260)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
54.0% (261)
-10.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Eller
O'Reilly
Home
51.2% (510)
54.9% (801)
Away
47.8% (521)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Eller
O'Reilly
P1
50.7%
58.0%
P2
49.0%
56.7%
P3
48.3%
55.4%
OT
56.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |