Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Kuraly 49.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Kuraly
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
52.4% (416)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
57.1% (7)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
32.0% (97)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
51.3% (513)
52.1% (259)
Away
52.5% (520)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
50.3%
46.8%
P2
52.8%
52.4%
P3
51.4%
47.2%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |