Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 78.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Eller
Kuraly
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
49.2% (901)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
68.2% (22)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
49.8% (219)
+2.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
56.4% (486)
51.7% (603)
Away
51.2% (537)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
55.1%
50.9%
P2
55.3%
49.5%
P3
51.7%
49.1%
OT
27.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |