Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eller
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Eller
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Eller
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
55.3% (515)
-2.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
55.6% (9)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
44.8% (58)
+0.7%
On power play, Eller has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
52.6% (340)
57.3% (293)
Away
51.8% (411)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
52.4%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |