Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.4%). Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 71.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Kuraly
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Eller
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Eller
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
52.3% (982)
-1.2%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
41.9% (43)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
39.2% (245)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
51.2% (510)
50.3% (680)
Away
47.8% (521)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
50.7%
49.5%
P2
49.0%
49.6%
P3
48.3%
49.0%
OT
56.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |