Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.3%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 41-24 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 72.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
24
(65 meetings)
41
24
Eller
Kuraly
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
14
4
Eller
Kuraly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
11
9
Eller
Kuraly
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
16
11
Eller
Kuraly
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.5% (5,141)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
56.0% (100)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
44.2% (1,086)
+2.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
51.4% (6,118)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
51.2%
51.1%
P2
50.1%
49.9%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
56.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |