Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Eller
Kuraly
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
51.8% (444)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
45.3% (150)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
53.1% (211)
54.6% (304)
Away
59.7% (278)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
55.4%
55.2%
P2
58.1%
45.7%
P3
57.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
60.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |