Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.3% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 54.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 76.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Eller
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Eller
Kuraly
Last 9: Eller 6-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Eller
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (518)
58.4% (310)
-9.0%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
66.7% (6)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
53.0% (83)
-0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Eller is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Eller shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Eller
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (304)
57.1% (184)
Away
51.5% (355)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Eller
Kuraly
P1
55.5%
56.0%
P2
44.0%
56.6%
P3
53.2%
58.0%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |