Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 86.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Monahan
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
51.5% (641)
-0.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
62.8% (129)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
33.3% (9)
+10.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
51.2% (510)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.8% (521)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
50.7%
48.0%
P2
49.0%
57.0%
P3
48.3%
54.1%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |