Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
53.2% (823)
+3.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
55.3% (159)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
48.4% (95)
+8.1%
On power play, Eller has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
53.1% (211)
54.6% (529)
Away
59.7% (278)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
55.4%
49.0%
P2
58.1%
55.4%
P3
57.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |