Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 60.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Eller
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
52.4% (853)
+0.4%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
58.6% (174)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
46.5% (144)
-1.0%
On power play, Eller has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
52.6% (340)
53.4% (624)
Away
51.8% (411)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
52.4%
53.7%
P2
54.1%
52.4%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |