Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Monahan 53.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Eller
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
54.5% (231)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
58.2% (67)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
52.2% (23)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
56.4% (486)
53.5% (144)
Away
51.2% (537)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
55.1%
52.5%
P2
55.3%
50.9%
P3
51.7%
60.8%
OT
27.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |