Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Monahan 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
25
(55 meetings)
30
25
Eller
Monahan
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
12
Eller
Monahan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
16
4
Eller
Monahan
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Eller
Monahan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.7% (2,580)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
46.0% (766)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
51.4% (6,118)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
51.2%
50.9%
P2
50.1%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
51.0%
OT
56.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |