Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 56.2% vs Lorentz 51.5% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 55.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 55.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Eller
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (306)
56.7% (60)
+0.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
0.0% (1)
+77.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (35)
40.0% (10)
+20.0%
On power play, Eller has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Eller shoots left. Lorentz is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Eller
Lorentz
Home
52.7% (150)
55.6% (54)
Away
62.0% (200)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Eller
Lorentz
P1
54.1%
57.9%
P2
59.6%
55.2%
P3
59.8%
47.8%
Final 5 min
63.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
53.5%