Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 72.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Eller
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
48.9% (135)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
50.0% (4)
-3.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Eller
Lorentz
Home
54.5% (448)
50.7% (75)
Away
50.2% (484)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Eller
Lorentz
P1
52.8%
60.0%
P2
50.9%
46.3%
P3
53.4%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%