Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 66.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Eller
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
46.5% (101)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
33.3% (3)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
37.5% (8)
+6.1%
On power play, Eller has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Eller
Lorentz
Home
51.2% (510)
49.1% (53)
Away
47.8% (521)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Eller
Lorentz
P1
50.7%
48.6%
P2
49.0%
36.7%
P3
48.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%