Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 53.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Eller
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
52.2% (67)
+4.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (2)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
42.9% (21)
+13.6%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Eller
Lorentz
Home
53.1% (211)
55.4% (65)
Away
59.7% (278)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Eller
Lorentz
P1
55.4%
59.3%
P2
58.1%
47.1%
P3
57.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%