Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 68.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Eller
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Eller
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
30.8% (26)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
57.1% (7)
-11.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Eller
Lorentz
Home
52.6% (340)
35.0% (20)
Away
51.8% (411)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Eller
Lorentz
P1
52.4%
38.5%
P2
54.1%
37.5%
P3
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |