Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 43.9% vs Stamkos 46.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 66.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 68.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Eller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Stamkos
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (402)
46.0% (767)
-3.0%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
50.0% (126)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
46.2% (26)
+20.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Eller shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Eller
Stamkos
Home
44.6% (184)
49.7% (441)
Away
40.9% (247)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Eller
Stamkos
P1
45.3%
43.7%
P2
41.5%
50.2%
P3
39.9%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |