Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Eller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Eller
Stamkos
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Eller
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
49.3% (789)
+1.8%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
56.9% (181)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
54.1% (98)
-10.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Eller
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (510)
52.0% (512)
Away
47.8% (521)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Eller
Stamkos
P1
50.7%
42.1%
P2
49.0%
56.4%
P3
48.3%
53.7%
OT
56.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |