Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Eller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Eller
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Eller
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
55.3% (628)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
55.1% (216)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
40.2% (87)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Eller
Stamkos
Home
56.4% (486)
55.5% (499)
Away
51.2% (537)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Eller
Stamkos
P1
55.1%
50.7%
P2
55.3%
53.8%
P3
51.7%
55.9%
OT
27.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |