Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Stamkos 49.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Eller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Eller
Stamkos
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
48.7% (831)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
53.5% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
69.2% (26)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eller is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Eller shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Eller
Stamkos
Home
54.6% (383)
52.5% (474)
Away
48.9% (401)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Eller
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
46.3%
P2
52.5%
52.0%
P3
48.6%
51.2%
OT
55.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |