Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 55.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 65.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Eller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Eller
Stamkos
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
7
Eller
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
54.1% (460)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
64.2% (106)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
45.3% (106)
+1.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eller is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Eller shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Eller
Stamkos
Home
51.3% (513)
58.2% (328)
Away
52.5% (520)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Eller
Stamkos
P1
50.3%
57.5%
P2
52.8%
53.1%
P3
51.4%
52.7%
OT
87.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |