Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Thompson 41.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Eller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Eller
Thompson
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Eller
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Eller
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
40.6% (801)
+10.5%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
44.7% (103)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
31.0% (71)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Eller
Thompson
Home
51.2% (510)
43.2% (507)
Away
47.8% (521)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Eller
Thompson
P1
50.7%
37.7%
P2
49.0%
43.4%
P3
48.3%
39.5%
OT
56.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |