Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Thompson 43.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 73.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 73.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Eller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Thompson
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Eller
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
43.3% (735)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
50.0% (26)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
36.5% (52)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Eller
Thompson
Home
56.4% (486)
44.5% (407)
Away
51.2% (537)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Eller
Thompson
P1
55.1%
44.4%
P2
55.3%
44.8%
P3
51.7%
40.2%
OT
27.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | OT | 02:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |