Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Thompson 44.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 92.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 83.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Eller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Thompson
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Eller
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
44.6% (709)
+8.2%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
41.5% (53)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
35.1% (97)
+11.1%
On power play, Eller has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Eller
Thompson
Home
54.5% (448)
45.5% (426)
Away
50.2% (484)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Eller
Thompson
P1
52.8%
48.5%
P2
50.9%
43.8%
P3
53.4%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |