Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Hertl 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Eller
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Eller
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
54.1% (717)
-1.3%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
61.9% (210)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
58.1% (31)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Eller
Hertl
Home
52.6% (340)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.8% (411)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Eller
Hertl
P1
52.4%
57.1%
P2
54.1%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |