Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Seguin 50.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Seguin
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Eller
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
51.1% (720)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.2% (59)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
14.3% (7)
+24.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
47.5% (421)
52.0% (421)
Away
46.8% (462)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
47.8%
50.8%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
46.1%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |