Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 70.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Eller
Seguin
Last 6: Eller 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Eller
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Eller
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
56.5% (712)
-5.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
59.7% (67)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
44.9% (49)
-1.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
51.2% (510)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.8% (521)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
50.7%
58.4%
P2
49.0%
54.7%
P3
48.3%
54.1%
OT
56.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |