Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Seguin 54.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 68.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 70.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eller
Seguin
Last 7: Eller 1-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Eller
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Eller
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
55.1% (1,036)
-5.0%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
56.9% (174)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
52.2% (230)
-5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
51.4% (465)
58.9% (703)
Away
47.3% (491)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
47.9%
54.5%
P2
51.6%
53.7%
P3
47.7%
57.0%
OT
62.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |