Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Eller
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
49.1% (731)
+2.0%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
54.3% (81)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
48.2% (85)
-4.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Eller
Gourde
Home
51.2% (510)
50.9% (479)
Away
47.8% (521)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Eller
Gourde
P1
50.7%
51.2%
P2
49.0%
49.8%
P3
48.3%
47.5%
OT
56.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |