Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Eller
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Gourde
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
49.1% (847)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
79.5% (44)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
39.5% (81)
+13.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Eller
Gourde
Home
56.4% (486)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.2% (537)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Eller
Gourde
P1
55.1%
54.7%
P2
55.3%
45.0%
P3
51.7%
49.4%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |