Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Eller
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eller
Gourde
Last 6: Eller 5-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
48.0% (914)
+4.8%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
54.2% (48)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
43.9% (123)
+2.3%
On power play, Eller has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Eller
Gourde
Home
54.5% (448)
50.2% (512)
Away
50.2% (484)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Eller
Gourde
P1
52.8%
50.0%
P2
50.9%
45.3%
P3
53.4%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |