Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.7%). Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Tavares wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Draisaitl 55.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 66.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 69.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 64.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Tavares
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
14
(39 meetings)
25
14
Tavares
Draisaitl
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Draisaitl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
8
Tavares
Draisaitl
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Draisaitl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
54.8% (675)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
60.2% (266)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
48.9% (90)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Tavares shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Tavares
Draisaitl
Home
57.9% (404)
57.3% (525)
Away
52.9% (448)
54.0% (506)
By Period
Tavares
Draisaitl
P1
54.2%
56.1%
P2
55.1%
54.5%
P3
56.4%
56.6%
OT
57.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |