Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.7%). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Dowd 53.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 87.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Draisaitl
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Draisaitl
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
55.4% (771)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
57.1% (7)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
45.5% (165)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Dowd
Home
55.5% (816)
58.2% (462)
Away
51.4% (845)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Draisaitl
Dowd
P1
51.1%
55.6%
P2
51.6%
50.5%
P3
56.9%
53.9%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |