Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Dowd 49.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 64.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Draisaitl
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Draisaitl
Dowd
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Draisaitl
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Draisaitl
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
52.2% (835)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
60.0% (10)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
44.0% (350)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Dowd
Home
55.2% (636)
51.5% (619)
Away
53.4% (560)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Draisaitl
Dowd
P1
50.8%
51.7%
P2
56.6%
51.6%
P3
54.0%
47.0%
OT
67.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |