Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Dowd 48.3% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 85.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Draisaitl
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Draisaitl
Dowd
Last 9: Draisaitl 8-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Draisaitl
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
49.2% (778)
+8.2%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
58.3% (12)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
44.0% (234)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Dowd
Home
56.4% (734)
46.3% (492)
Away
57.5% (717)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Draisaitl
Dowd
P1
55.6%
49.1%
P2
62.1%
48.2%
P3
52.4%
46.9%
OT
61.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |