Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Dowd 49.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 75.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Draisaitl
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Draisaitl
Dowd
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
3
Draisaitl
Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Draisaitl
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
51.7% (644)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
0.0% (2)
+61.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
41.6% (221)
+8.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Dowd
Home
55.1% (508)
48.6% (451)
Away
58.5% (595)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Draisaitl
Dowd
P1
55.8%
49.1%
P2
55.7%
47.3%
P3
59.0%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |