Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 34 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 42-28 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 66.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 73.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Draisaitl
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
28
(70 meetings)
42
28
Draisaitl
Dowd
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
27
7
Draisaitl
Dowd
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
14
Draisaitl
Dowd
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
11
7
Draisaitl
Dowd
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
52.4% (6,009)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
56.1% (164)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
44.1% (1,635)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Dowd
Home
54.6% (7,049)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Draisaitl
Dowd
P1
52.7%
51.7%
P2
53.6%
50.4%
P3
53.4%
50.3%
OT
57.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |