Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.6%). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Foligno 52.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 50.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 66.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Draisaitl
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Draisaitl
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Draisaitl
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
52.0% (50)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
66.7% (21)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
0.0% (1)
+61.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Foligno
Home
54.5% (778)
51.2% (41)
Away
55.3% (692)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Draisaitl
Foligno
P1
54.6%
55.6%
P2
56.1%
48.0%
P3
53.3%
65.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |